Service Plays Monday 05/11/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[SteveMcQueen]

Raging Bull

Stade Reims/Lens over 2 (France Ligue 2)

Tom Tomsk/Rubin Kazan over 2 (Russian Premier League)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Lakers (-3-1/2) Sunday night.

Today it's the Nuggets. The surplus is 740 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin free pick

(955) WASHINGTON NATIONALS
(956) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

Take "(956) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS"

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist Bonus Play

(957) CHICAGO WHITE SOX
(958) CLEVELAND INDIANS
Take "Over"

The White Sox and Indians both struggling this year as both are below .500. The Sox are still waiting for slugger Jim Thome to get it in gear as the lefty his hitting just .200 so far with four HR's. RF Jermaine Dye is having another good season hitting .303 with seven HR's and 17 RBI's. Carlos Quientin is leading the team in HR's with eight. The pitching staff has been fair with a team ERA of 4.44 and a fairly high WHIP of 1.533. Today's starter, Gavin Floyd has been hit hard, allowing 42 hits in 32 innings with a 6.29 ERA. The Indians are again led by C Victor Martinez who is hitting a blistering .385 with a team leading 6 HR's and 19 RBI. Pitching has been the big problem for this club with a 5.86 team ERA and a WHIP of 1.596. Carl Pavano has shown flashes of the high expectations teams had of him in the past, but for the most part he's having another poor season. Pavano is 2-3 with a 6.61 ERA. The one bright spot for Pavano is that he doesn't walk many batters with just eight free passes this season. Neither pitching staff is much to worry about and we look for lots of runs in this contest. Take the OVER!!

 

[number1fan]

Maddux Sports

Baseball
#953 - MLB - 3 units on Cincinnati +112
#956 - MLB - 3 units on San Francisco -139
#957 - MLB - 3 units on Chicago White Sox +120

 

[number1fan]

Maddux Sports

Basketball
#732 - NBA - 3 units on Dallas -1.5

 

[fly73]

DUNKEL

NBA

Denver at Dallas

The Mavericks look to avoid elimination, but are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite between 1 and 4 1/2 points, while the Nuggets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog by the same margin. Denver is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the game even. Dunkel Pick: Denver (+2). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

Game 729-730: Cleveland at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 129.936; Atlanta 121.444
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 8 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 10; 183
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+10); Under

Game 731-732: Denver at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 126.841; Dallas 126.565
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 2; 210
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+2); Under

 

[fly73]

DUNKEL

MLB

Washington at San Francisco

The Nationals are 0-6 in Daniel Cabrera's last 6 starts as a underdog, while the Giants are 7-2 in their last 9 home games. San Francisco is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-130). Here are all of today's games

Game 951-952: Atlanta at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Lowe) 15.466; NY Mets (Santana) 17.088
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-180); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-180); Under

Game 953-954: Cincinnati at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 16.494; Arizona (Garland) 14.849
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+115); Under

Game 955-956: Washington at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Cabrera) 15.082; San Francisco (Johnson) 16.557
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-130); Over

Game 957-958: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Floyd) 15.373; Cleveland (Pavano) 14.285
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-130); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+120); Over

 

[fly73]

DUNKEL

NHL

Vancouver at Chicago

The Blackhawks look to wrap up the series at home and build on their 6-0 mark in their last 6 games as a home favorite between -150 and -200. Chicago is the pick (-175) according to Dunkel, which has the Blackhawks favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-175). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

Game 59-60: Washington at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 12.175; Pittsburgh 13.782
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-185); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-185); Under

Game 61-62: Vancouver at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.797; Chicago 13.460
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-175); 5
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-175); Over

 

[fly73]

DCI (Daniel Curry Index)

NBA

Eastern Conference Semifinals
Game 4, best-of-7
Cleveland 95, ATLANTA 89

Western Conference Semifinals
Game 4, best-of-7
DALLAS 104, Denver 103

NHL

Eastern Conference

 

[fly73]

Vega Star Sports

Here are our selections for the day:

Denver u210

Arizona ML -120

 

[brady1983]

Larry Ness Monday

Larry's 2nd Round 10* NBA Total


2nd Round 10* Total Cle/Atl Over.


Larry's 9* Team Mismatch

Team Mismatch on the SF Giants

 

[chuba]

steve merrill

5 units giants action

gl

 

[SteveMcQueen]

Dr. Canada

Pens over 5.5
Canucks over 5

 

[chuba]

kbhoops

MLB
5* Cincinnati +115 **POD**
3* San Fran -140

NBA
5* Denver +1.5
3* Atl Hawks +10

 

[elpatroni]

Monday's winners ...
20 Dime: NUGGETS (plus the points vs. Mavericks)



5 Dime: Braves-Mets UNDER the total ... NOTE: List both Johan Santana and Derek Lowe as starting pitchers. If either does NOT start, this play is VOID!





I will return with in-depth analysis on the Braves-Mets UNDER by 3 p.m. Eastern time.





Nuggets



Any chance Dallas had of making this a competitive series against the Nuggets went out the window when it got hosed by the officials at the end of Game 3. And when Carmelo Anthony nailed that three-point dagger to pull out an improbable 106-105 win for Denver – and causing the Mavericks’ players and whack-job owner to go berserk on the court at the end of the game – this series was for all intents and purposes over.



As I’m sure you – and the Mavericks– know, no team in NBA playoff history has ever rallied from an 0-3 series hole. And few teams rally to even force a Game 5, especially when they blow a four-point lead with 31 seconds left on their home court in Game 3, as Dallas did. Yeah, I know they got jobbed by the refs on that non-call on ‘Melo before he got off the game-winning shot, but if the Mavs had just played defense and hit their free throws, it wouldn’t have been an issue.



Fact is, Denver is now 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in the playoffs – the only blemish was a last-second one-point loss at New Orleans in Game 3. The Nuggets have scored at least 106 points in all seven of their playoff victories, and their 109.3 ppg average is the best in the postseason (even better than Chicago and Boston, who played three overtime games in the first round to pad their offensive numbers).



Denver also leads all playoff teams in field-goal offensive (49.4 ppg), and is second to the Cavaliers in field-goal defense (42 percent). And even though they’ve given up 105 points to the Mavs in each of the last two games, they’re still surrendering just 90.8 ppg in the postseason, the third-best mark in the league behind Cleveland and Miami. In fact, the Nuggets’ 18.5-point per-game scoring differential is the best in the league!



More numbers to chew on: In addition to covering all seven playoff games to this point, the Nuggets have cashed in 16 of their last 21 overall; they’re 7-2 ATS both in their last nine road games and their last nine as an underdog; they’re 20-7 ATS in their last 27 against Western Conference opponents and 24-9 ATS in their last 33 against teams from the competitive Southwest Division (think Dallas, Houston, San Antonio and New Orleans); and they’re 7-1 ATS in their last eight when playing on one day of rest.



Finally, there’s the little matter that Denver owns the Mavericks – and I mean owns. The Nuggets are 10-1 SU and ATS in the last 11 meetings overall; 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in the seven clashes this season; and they’ve covered in five straight games in Dallas, winning four of those outright.



Throw in the fact that Denver is the much healthier, much younger and, quite frankly, much hungrier team, and this one’s a no-brainer. Take the Nuggets to finish off this series in four.

Trace Adams

PAY-AFTER-YOU-WIN - 500* - Cleveland Cavaliers
OK, I give up!



On Saturday I gave out a 500♦ Pay-After play on the Hawks in Game 3, and we all know how that turned out. I honestly thought Atlanta would at least keep it close on their home floor.



The Hawks did keep it close for a while, then Cleveland's superiority took over, and the Cavs won it by 15, making that 7 straight playoff wins, 7 straight playoff covers, 7 straight double-digit wins!



Hard to argue with those kinds of numbers, and while the spread on this one has gone up a basket, I expect the Cavaliers to handle the number once again, as I have a feeling the Hawks are now demoralized, and will cash it in early tonight.



Cleveland knows the Boston-Orlando series is now tied at 2, so they can get some nice rest once again if they put the Hawks away tonight.



With a chance to make history looming for the Cavs, expect Cleveland to make it their mission to crush the Hawks tonight.



Lay it!



PAY-AFTER-YOU-WIN

500♦ - Cleveland Cavaliers




IMPORTANT NOTES
just wanted to pitch in some good peoples opinions today, and all I need to say is thats to big baby for coming thru at the buzzer. Lost a shit load on the Lakers and played the moneyline with Boston and it came thru. I just hope dallas dosent come out thinking that their time is now. I just want them to concead and let me make some more money.

 

[Dominion]

Winning Way Sports John Fina
Fina had a nice win yesterday with the Rockets
Today he has a 5 unit (out of 5) Game of the Year on The Dallas Mavericks -1.5

 

[SteveMcQueen]

Las Vegas Sport Picks

9* Mavs -1 -120

 

[SteveMcQueen]

Raging Bull

Stade Reims/Lens over 2 (France Ligue 2)

Tom Tomsk/Rubin Kazan over 2 (Russian Premier League)

Hawks/Cavs over 183